เหตุการณ์ใน-นอกโลก VS ภัยธรรมชาติ และupdate พายุสุริยะ

March 2, 2012

Diagram of the solar flare activity

X-ray emission of the Sun from 01.03.2012 to 02.03.2012 (GOES-15)


Solar flares today

Today, 1 solar flare was observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"> <tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th width="1%" align="left"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M3.3</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">17:29:00</td> <td class="center">17:46:00</td> <td class="center">18:07:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
Solar flares yesterday

Yesterday, 1 solar flare was observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"><tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th width="1%" align="left"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C3.3</td> <td class="center">1423</td> <td class="center">15:10:00</td> <td class="center">15:26:00</td> <td class="center">15:36:00</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m7XdHJWeCSQ]M3.3 Solar Flare (March 2, 2012) - SolarHam.com - YouTube[/ame]

 

March 4, 2012

Diagram of the solar flare activity

X-ray emission of the Sun from 03.03.2012 to 04.03.2012 (GOES-15)


Solar flares today

Today, 5 solar flares were observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"> <tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th width="1%" align="left"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.4</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">01:40:00</td> <td class="center">01:45:00</td> <td class="center">01:48:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">03:28:00</td> <td class="center">03:33:00</td> <td class="center">03:38:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.3</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">06:44:00</td> <td class="center">06:51:00</td> <td class="center">06:59:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M2.0</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">10:29:00</td> <td class="center">10:52:00</td> <td class="center">12:16:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C3.2</td> <td class="center">1427</td> <td class="center">17:24:00</td> <td class="center">17:31:00</td> <td class="center">17:35:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
Solar flares yesterday

Yesterday, 6 solar flares were observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"><tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th width="1%" align="left"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.4</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">00:56:00</td> <td class="center">01:02:00</td> <td class="center">01:27:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.3</td> <td class="center">1427</td> <td class="center">03:01:00</td> <td class="center">03:08:00</td> <td class="center">03:11:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.2</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">05:15:00</td> <td class="center">05:20:00</td> <td class="center">05:25:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">05:34:00</td> <td class="center">06:09:00</td> <td class="center">06:37:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.1</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">17:56:00</td> <td class="center">18:03:00</td> <td class="center">18:05:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.9</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">18:13:00</td> <td class="center">19:48:00</td> <td class="center">20:46:00</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

จุดดับ 1429 น่าจับตาเป็นอย่างยิ่ง อาจกระทบเรื่องอากาศทางเหนือตอนใต้หรืออีสานตอนบน



Sunspots and active regions

The following regions with sunspots can be now observed on the Sun's surface
<table class="table_1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <th width="1%"> Group number </th> <th width="10%"> Sunspots Location on the Sun </th> <th width="11%"> The number of spots in the group </th> <th width="20%"> The classification by the Zurich's modified system </th> <th width="30%"> Area (millions of shares of the solar hemisphere) </th> <th width="9%"> Group length (in degrees) </th> <th width="16%"> Carrington Longitude (in degrees) </th> <th class="last" width="1%"> Group's magnet type </th> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1423 </td> <td> N17 W61 </td> <td class="center"> 01 </td> <td class="center"> Hsx </td> <td class="center"> 0070 </td> <td class="center"> 02 </td> <td class="center"> 055 </td> <td class="center"> Alpha </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1427 </td> <td> N15 W45 </td> <td class="center"> 02 </td> <td class="center"> Bxo </td> <td class="center"> 0010 </td> <td class="center"> 02 </td> <td class="center"> 039 </td> <td class="center"> Beta </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1428 </td> <td> S17 E37 </td> <td class="center"> 06 </td> <td class="center"> Dso </td> <td class="center"> 0070 </td> <td class="center"> 06 </td> <td class="center"> 318 </td> <td class="center"> Beta </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1429 </td> <td> N18 E55 </td> <td class="center"> 08 </td> <td class="center"> Dkc </td> <td class="center"> 0700 </td> <td class="center"> 08 </td> <td class="center"> 300 </td> <td class="center"> Beta-Gamma-Delta </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1430 </td> <td> N19 E40 </td> <td class="center"> 03 </td> <td class="center"> Cro </td> <td class="center"> 0020 </td> <td class="center"> 03 </td> <td class="center"> 315 </td> <td class="center"> Beta </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Coordinates and other characteristics of active regions are issued for March 05, 2012 00:31 UT
H-alpha plages without spots

The following H-alpha plages without spots can be currently observed on the Sun's surface <table class="table_1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr class="separator_1"> <td width="30%">
</td> <td width="35%">
</td> <td width="35%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <th> Area number </th> <th> Coordinates </th> <th> Carrington Longitude (in degrees) </th> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td> № 1426 </td> <td> N11 W87 </td> <td> 82 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Coordinates and other characteristics of active regions are issued for March 05, 2012 00:31 UT

Daily Sun: 04 Mar 12 <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Big sunspot 1429 poses a threat for strong M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

BIG SUNSPOT: A sunspot almost four times as wide as Earth itself is rotating onto the solar disk. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded its entrance on March 2nd and 3rd; click to view a 24-hour animation:


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The sunspot has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong M-class solar flares. Indeed, it has already unleashed an M3-class eruption on March 2nd that created mild waves of ionization in the atmosphere over Europe. ​

Earth-effects could become stronger as the sunspot turns toward our planet in the days ahead. NOAA forecasters estimate a 55% chance of additional M-class flares and a 5% chance of an X-flare during the next 24 hours. Solar flare alerts: text, phone.

​

more images: from Dennis Put of Brielle, The Netherlands; from Pavol Rapavy of Observatory Rimavska Sobota, Slovakia; from Maximilian Teodorescu of Bucharest, Romania; from Jim Werle of Henderson, Nevada; ​

 

Blast it or paint it: Asteroid to threaten Earth in 2013

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Published: 03 March, 2012, 22:32
Edited:05 March, 2012, 03:33



A dangerous asteroid heading to the Earth was spotted by stargazers three years after it had got onto its current orbit

TAGS: Space, SciTech, Thrills&Spills

To avert a possible catastrophe – this time set for February 2013 – scientists suggest confronting asteroid 2012 DA14 with either paint or big guns. The stickler is that time has long run out to build a spaceship to carry out the operation.

NASA's data shows the 60-meter asteroid, spotted by Spanish stargazers in February, will whistle by Earth in 11 months. Its trajectory will bring it within a hair’s breadth of our planet, raising fears of a possible collision.

The asteroid, known as DA14, will pass by our planet in February 2013 at a distance of under 27,000 km (16,700 miles). This is closer than the geosynchronous orbit of some satellites.

There is a possibility the asteroid will collide with Earth, but further calculation is required to estimate the potential threat and work out how to avert possible disaster, NASA expert Dr. David Dunham told students at Moscow’s University of Electronics and Mathematics (MIEM).

“The Earth’s gravitational field will alter the asteroid’s path significantly. Further scrupulous calculation is required to estimate the threat of collision,” said Dr. Dunham, as transcribed by Russia’s Izvestia. “The asteroid may break into dozens of small pieces, or several large lumps may split from it and burn up in the atmosphere. The type of the asteroid and its mineral structure can be determined by spectral analysis. This will help predict its behavior in the atmosphere and what should be done to prevent the potential threat,” said Dr. Dunham.

In the event of a collision, scientists have calculated that the energy released would equate to the destructive power of a thermo-nuclear bomb.

In response to the threat, scientists have come up with some ingenious methods to avert a potential disaster.
Fireworks and watercolors

With the asteroid zooming that low, it will be too late to do anything with it besides trying to predict its final destination and the consequences of impact.




A spaceship is needed, experts agree. It could shoot the rock down or just crash into it, either breaking the asteroid into debris or throwing it off course.

“We could paint it,” says NASA expert David Dunham.

Paint would affect the asteroid’s ability to reflect sunlight, changing its temperature and altering its spin. The asteroid would stalk off its current course, but this could also make the boulder even more dangerous when it comes back in 2056, Aleksandr Devaytkin, the head of the observatory in Russia’s Pulkovo, told Izvestia.

2012 DA14 orbit diagram
Spaceship impossible?

Whatever the mission, building a spaceship to deal with 2012 DA14 will take two years – at least.

The asteroid has proven a bitter discovery. It has been circling in orbit for three years already, crossing Earth’s path several times, says space analyst Sergey Naroenkov from the Russian Academy of Sciences. It seems that spotting danger from outer space is still the area where mere chance reigns, while asteroid defense systems exist only in drafts.

Still, prospects of meeting 2012 DA14 are not all doom and gloom.

“The asteroid may split into pieces entering the atmosphere. In this case, most part of it will never reach the planet’s surface,” remarks Dunham.

But if the entire asteroid is to crash into the planet, the impact will be as hard as in the Tunguska blast, which in 1908 knocked down trees over a total area of 2,150 sq km (830 sq miles) in Siberia. This is almost the size of Luxembourg. In today’s case, the destination of the asteroid is yet to be determined.
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Blast it or paint it: Asteroid to threaten Earth in 2013 — RT

 

คาดว่าน่าจะถึง x-class นะ

 

March 5, 2012

Diagram of the solar flare activity

X-ray emission of the Sun from 04.03.2012 to 05.03.2012 (GOES-15)


Solar flares today

Today, 3 solar flares were observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"><tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th width="1%" align="left"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C3.4</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">00:23:00</td> <td class="center">00:36:00</td> <td class="center">00:47:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C4.7</td> <td class="center">1430</td> <td class="center">00:58:00</td> <td class="center">01:06:00</td> <td class="center">01:19:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class X1.1</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">02:30:00</td> <td class="center">04:09:00</td> <td class="center">04:43:00</td></tr></tbody></table>


# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#-----------------------------<wbr style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: -webkit-auto; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">---------------------------------------#
An X1.1 flare was detected by GOES this morning, peaking at 04:05 UT in
the NOAA AR 1429 (no Catania number yet) situated at N19E58. With the
limited AIA data available at the moment of writing, it appears that the
flare is accompanied by coronal dimmings and a post-eruption arcade
indicating the eruption of a CME. A halo CME was detected by the
SOHO/LASCO coronagraph. We expect the CME-associated interplanetary
disturbance to arrive at the Earth on March 7-8, possibly triggering a
minor to moderate geomagnetic storm. SEP flux at energies above 10 MeV
started to rise since around 00:00 UT today (probably resulting from the
CME associated with yesterday's M2.0 flare). Crossing the threshold of
an SEP event is probable in the coming hours. Protons from both CMEs are
delayed due to the eastern position of the CME source region.<wbr style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: -webkit-auto; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">

 

CLOSE ENCOUNTER WITH MARS: Today, Mars is at its closest to Earth for 2012. The red planet is only 100.8 million km away and shines about six times brighter than a 1st magnitude star. Look for it in the eastern sky at sunset. The burnt-orange color of Mars is very distinctive, especially when seen from rural areas with clear skies. [sky map] [images: #1, #2, #3]

คืนนี้อย่าลืมดูดาวอังคารขนาดใหญ่ สีแดง

 

STRONG SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar activity is now high. Big sunspot AR1429, which emerged on March 2nd, is crackling with strong flares. The strongest so far, an X1-class eruption, occured just ths morning, March 5th at 0413 UT. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash: ​

​

The explosion also hurled a bright coronal mass ejection (CME) into space: SOHO movie. The expanding cloud will probably deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on March 6th or 7th. (Stay tuned for updates on this possibility as more data arrive.) High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras in the nights ahead. Auroras alerts: text, phone.

​

When the CME from today's X-flare arrives, a geomagnetic storm might already be in progress. An earlier CME is en route and nearing our planet. According to analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, the cloud, which was produced by an M2-class eruption from sunspot AR1429 on March 4th, could deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on March 6th at 04:30 UT (+/- 7 hr). See the CME's animated forecast track.


SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids​

 

<table style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(204, 255, 204); margin-bottom: 5px; display: table; " border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font-family: 'Times New Roman', Times; background-color: rgb(153, 153, 0); font-size: 10pt; color: rgb(255, 255, 153); text-align: left; " bgcolor="#999900" width="99%" align="left">

New M-Class Flare Trumped byFollowing X-Class 15 Hours Later​

</td><td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font-family: arial, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(153, 153, 0); text-align: left; " background="https://imgssl.constantcontact.com/letters/images/1101093164665/top_right.gif" bgcolor="#999900" width="1%" align="left">
</td></tr><tr><td rowspan="1" colspan="2" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 10pt; text-align: left; " align="left">by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Media

On March 4th a filament in the northern hemisphere, east side of the solar disk, erupted around 1 UT . The active sunspot region 1429, located near one end of the filament was at that moment flaring in the B-level. This active region was the source of 2 M-flares and several C-flares from March 2nd onwards.
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With the M2.0 flare peaking at 10:45 yesterday morning, another CME is associated. Because of the location of the source region on the solar disk, the CME's are probably not ejected straight to Earth. But it didn't stop there.

X-Class Flare Surprise

At 02:30 March 5th a surprise X-class flare fires off from sunspot region 1429. More M-flares are likely. There might be a small geomagnetic influence (K=3-4) from the long stretched coronal hole in the southern hemisphere from tomorrow onwards.​

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VIDEO - CLICK HERE​

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The X1.1 flare from this morning was accompanied by a full halo CME that first appeared in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 04:00 UT and propagated at a projected plane of the sky speed of around 1300 km/s.

Equation:
Charged Particles (sunspots, solar flares, filament, coronal holes, etc.) => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros 1998 Updated: 2012).

​

We expect the CME-associated interplanetary disturbance(most probably only a CME-driven shock due to the source region position close to the limb) to arrive at the Earth on March 7-8, possibly triggering a minor to moderate geomagnetic storm. The eruption was associated with a strong radio flux in the metric range.

​

Watch for a range and duration of various earth changing events to escalate. What we have recently learned can be defined as a "precursor" to 'where' and what 'kind' of event is most likely to take place. Wherever there is an extreme weather event developing or taking place, creates the vulnerability for electrical magnetic currents to exacerbate the event. Example: If storms are gathering along tornado alley, then this will be one area to expected 'severe events'. More on this coming soon.


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วันที่ 3 มีนาคม พบจุดดับขนาดใหญ่ (ทิศตะวันออกเฉียงเหนือของดวงวันที่ 3 มีนาคม พบจุดดับขนาดใหญ่ (ทิศตะวันออกเฉียงเหนือของดวงอาทิตย์) กำลังเคลื่อนที่มาเรียงตัวกับโลกประมาณวันที่ 9 มีนาคม

5 มีนาคม เกิดพายุสุริยะขนาดใหญ่ทิศทางเดียวกับโลกในเวลา 5:09 UTC และเกิดจุดดับขยายตัว แม้จะไม่ตรงกับโลกโดยตรงแต่จะส่งผลกระทบต่อโลกในรูปแบบของสภาพอากาศแปรปรวน อย่างฉับพลันระหว่างวันที่ 7-9 มีนาคม และมีความเสี่ยงต่อแผ่นดินไหวขนาด 6-8 ริตเตอร์
พี้นที่ที่คาดว่าจะเสี่ยงภัยพิบัติเป็นพิเศษอยู่บริเวณเอเซียตะวันออกเฉียงใต้

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เหตุการณ์พายุสุริยะครั้งนี้ (4-5 มีนาคม) จะมีมวลความเร็วสูงเดินทางมาถึงโลกในวันที่ 6 มีนาคม เวลา 21 UTC +/- 7 ชั่วโมง และมวลหลักจากเดินทางมาถึงโลกประมาณวันที่ 8-9 มีนาคม


จับตาการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์ช่วงวันที่ 19 กุมภาพันธ์ ถึง 13 มีนาคม คศ 2012 update 6 มีนาคม เวลา 1:50 UTC | Tr


ในช่วงนี้ 6 -14 มีนาคม ควรจับตาการเปลี่ยนแปลงทางธรณีวิทยาเป็นพิเศษ เช่นแผ่นดินไหวและภูเขาไฟระเบิด นอกเหนือจากเรื่องการสภาพอากาศที่เปลี่ยนแปลงอย่างฉับพลัน เป็นช่วงที่โลกมีการเปลี่ยนแปลงทางพลังงานเป็นจำนวนมากครับ





Posted by Administration on Tue, 2012-03-06 08:58

 

March 6, 2012

Diagram of the solar flare activity

X-ray emission of the Sun from 05.03.2012 to 06.03.2012 (GOES-15)


Solar flares today

Today, 18 solar flares were observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"> <tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th width="1%" align="left"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M1.3</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">00:22:00</td> <td class="center">00:28:00</td> <td class="center">00:31:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C3.5</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">01:13:00</td> <td class="center">01:18:00</td> <td class="center">01:25:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M1.2</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">01:36:00</td> <td class="center">01:44:00</td> <td class="center">01:50:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.4</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">02:26:00</td> <td class="center">02:33:00</td> <td class="center">02:37:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C9.2</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">03:24:00</td> <td class="center">03:28:00</td> <td class="center">03:31:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M1.0</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">04:01:00</td> <td class="center">04:05:00</td> <td class="center">04:08:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.9</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">05:19:00</td> <td class="center">05:28:00</td> <td class="center">05:31:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C3.0</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">05:48:00</td> <td class="center">05:52:00</td> <td class="center">05:58:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.6</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">06:47:00</td> <td class="center">06:50:00</td> <td class="center">06:53:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C5.3</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">07:31:00</td> <td class="center">07:43:00</td> <td class="center">07:47:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M1.0</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">07:52:00</td> <td class="center">07:55:00</td> <td class="center">08:00:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">11:10:00</td> <td class="center">11:17:00</td> <td class="center">11:22:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M2.1</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">12:23:00</td> <td class="center">12:41:00</td> <td class="center">12:54:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C4.2</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">16:45:00</td> <td class="center">16:50:00</td> <td class="center">16:54:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.5</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">17:17:00</td> <td class="center">17:20:00</td> <td class="center">17:22:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.7</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">19:43:00</td> <td class="center">19:46:00</td> <td class="center">19:49:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M1.3</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">21:04:00</td> <td class="center">21:11:00</td> <td class="center">21:14:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.8</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">21:52:00</td> <td class="center">21:56:00</td> <td class="center">22:11:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
Solar flares yesterday

Yesterday, 19 solar flares were observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"><tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th width="1%" align="left"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C3.4</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">00:23:00</td> <td class="center">00:36:00</td> <td class="center">00:47:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C4.7</td> <td class="center">1430</td> <td class="center">00:58:00</td> <td class="center">01:06:00</td> <td class="center">01:19:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class X1.1</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">02:30:00</td> <td class="center">04:09:00</td> <td class="center">04:43:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.3</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">10:29:00</td> <td class="center">10:32:00</td> <td class="center">10:36:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C5.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">12:05:00</td> <td class="center">12:13:00</td> <td class="center">12:21:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.2</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">14:26:00</td> <td class="center">14:29:00</td> <td class="center">14:33:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C5.4</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">14:54:00</td> <td class="center">15:04:00</td> <td class="center">15:09:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C7.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">15:24:00</td> <td class="center">15:29:00</td> <td class="center">15:33:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C9.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">16:16:00</td> <td class="center">16:22:00</td> <td class="center">16:26:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C4.6</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">16:44:00</td> <td class="center">16:50:00</td> <td class="center">16:52:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.5</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">17:25:00</td> <td class="center">17:28:00</td> <td class="center">17:38:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C6.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">18:33:00</td> <td class="center">18:37:00</td> <td class="center">18:41:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M2.1</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">19:10:00</td> <td class="center">19:16:00</td> <td class="center">19:21:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M1.8</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">19:27:00</td> <td class="center">19:30:00</td> <td class="center">19:32:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.7</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">20:10:00</td> <td class="center">20:15:00</td> <td class="center">20:17:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class M1.3</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">22:26:00</td> <td class="center">22:34:00</td> <td class="center">22:42:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.5</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">22:53:00</td> <td class="center">22:56:00</td> <td class="center">22:59:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C1.6</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">23:17:00</td> <td class="center">23:20:00</td> <td class="center">23:25:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" align="left">Flare of class C2.4</td> <td class="center">1429</td> <td class="center">23:53:00</td> <td class="center">00:04:00</td> <td class="center">00:09:00</td></tr></tbody></table>

คาดการณ์

- ความเป็นไปได้ที่จะมีแผ่นดินไหว ช่วง 7-10 มีนา
- ฝนตก คาดว่าเป็นทางเหนือตอนกลาง กลางตอนบน และอีสานตอนบน

 

acquired March 5, 2012download large image (1 MB, JPEG, 2048x2048)​

acquired March 5, 2012download large image (4 MB, JPEG, 4096x4096)​

​

As the Sun approaches solar maximum this year and next, sunspots will grow more frequent and numerous. Those tangled knots of magnetic activity will bring more frequent solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and plenty of radio disturbances that affect technology on Earth. The rise in the Sun’s activity also increases the odds of seeing auroras at high latitudes and, occasionally, middle latitudes.
The images above come from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory, which constantly images our nearest star in high-definition detail. The top image, from the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), was taken at 04:30 Universal Time (11:30 U.S. Eastern Time) on March 5, 2012. The bottom image was captured by the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) just a minute before the HMI image.
Both images show different faces of solar active region 1429, which rotated around the limb and into Earth's view on March 2, 2012. The top view shows an approximation of the Sun's surface; the area with black spots surrounded by deep orange is a sunspot region, a place where magnetic energy is extremely intense but the surface is dimmer (and slightly cooler) in visible wavelengths. The bottom image shows the same area in extreme ultraviolet wavelengths (171 Angstroms); the sunspot region appears brighter in UV, radio, and other parts of the electromagnetic spectrum. Looping lines reveal solar plasma that is rising and falling along magnetic field lines in the solar atmosphere, or corona.
By midday on March 6, active region 1429 had released at least four M-class and one X-class solar flare. Large explosions of solar plasma—known as coronal mass ejections—accompanied many of the flares. The region also emitted several radio bursts that can interfere with radio communications on Earth, particularly on high-frequency (HF) channels.
According to the joint NOAA and U.S. Air Force Space Weather Prediction Center, active region 1429 was still growing as it rotated across the Earth-facing side of the Sun as was likely to produce more flares this week.
Images by NASA/SDO/HMI (top) and NASA/SDO/AIA (bottom). Caption by Mike Carlowicz.
<dl style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-top-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; border-image: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; font-size: 12px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: transparent; background-attachment: scroll; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); display: block; background-position: 0px 0px; "><dt style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-top-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; border-image: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; font-size: 12px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: transparent; background-attachment: scroll; background-position: 0px 0px; ">Instrument: </dt><dd style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-top-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; border-image: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; font-size: 12px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: transparent; background-attachment: scroll; background-position: 0px 0px; ">SDO - HMI</dd></dl>

 

CHANCE OF FLARES: Today, NOAA forecasters estimate a 75% chance of M-class solar flares and a 30% chance of an X-flare from big sunspot AR1429.The active region is slowly turning to face Earth, so if any such eruptions do occur, they are increasingly likely to be geoeffective. Solar flare alerts: text, phone.


ปล. จับตาดูจุดดับนี้ให้ดี สำหรับตัวเองคิดว่า ถ้ามันเกิดระเบิด x มาช่วงที่ตรงกับโลก อาจมีน้ำท่วมเมืองไทยให้เห็นกันอีกหน

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Solar wind
speed: 392.9 km/sec
density: 9.8 protons/cm³
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2325 UT <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: M1 2111 UT Mar06
24-hr: M2 1241 UT Mar06
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2300 UT <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Daily Sun: 06 Mar 12 <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Big sunspot 1429 poses a continued threat for X-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI